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Contents
ⅠIntroduction……………………………………………………………………….1
1.1 1.2 1.3
Problem Background………………………………………………...1 Previous Research…………………………………………………...2 Our Work………………………………………………………….....2
ⅡGeneral Assumptions.............................................................................................3 ⅢNotations and Symbol Description……………………………………………..3 3.1 Notations…………………………………………………………….4 3.2 Symbol Description………………………………………………….4 Ⅳ Spread of Ebola………………………………………………………………….5 4.1 Traditional Epidemic Model…………………………………………5 4.1.1.The SEIR Model……………………………………………………..5
4.1.2………………………………………………………………………..6 4.1.3………………………………………………………………………..6 4.2 Improved Model……………………………………………………..7 4.2.1.The SEIHCR Model…………………………………………………8 4.2.2………………………………………………………………………..9 Ⅴ Pharmaceutical Intervention……………………………………………………9 5.1 Total Quantity of the Medicine…………………………………….10 5.1.1.Results from WHO Statistics………………………………………10 5.1.2.Results from SEIHCR Model……………………………………....11 5.2 Delivery System……………………………………………………12
5.2.1.Locations of Delivery………………………………………………13 5.2.2………………………………………………………………………14 5.3 Speed of Manufacturing……………………………………………15 Ⅵ Other Important Interventions.........................................................................16 6.1 Safer Treatment of Corpses………………………………………...17 6.2 Conclusion………………………………………………………….18 Ⅶ Control and Eradication of Ebola…………………………………………….19 7.1 How Ebola Can Be Controlled……………………………………..20 7.2 When Ebola Will Be Eradicated……………………………………21 Ⅷ Sensitivity Analysis……………………………………………………………22 8.1 Impact of Transmission Rate……………………………………….23 8.2 Impact of the Incubation Priod……………………………………..24
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ⅨStrengths and Weaknesses…………………………………………………….25 9.1 Strengths…………………………………………………………..26 9.2 Weaknesses………………………………………………………..27 9.3 Future Work……………………………………………………….28 Letter to the World Medical Association………………………………………......30 References…………………………………………………………………………...31
ⅠIntroduction
1.1. Promblem Background
1.2. Previous Research
1.3. Our Work
ⅡGeneral Assumptions
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Ⅲ Notations and Symbol Description 3.1. Notataions
3.2. Symbol Description
Symbol
Ⅳ Spread of Ebola
4.1. Traditional Epidemic Model 4.1.1. The SEIR Model
Description
美国大学生数学建模比赛的论文格式
