第一章——图形基础与回归
原始数据
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
UR 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.28 0.31 0.34
URIR 2.97 2.32 2.43 2.09 1.68 1.70 1.50 1.67 1.91 2.06 2.26 2.20 2.12 2.54 2.76 3.11 2.85 3.48 2.33
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
UR 0.31 0.32 0.34 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.55 0.55
URIR 2.22 2.22 2.35 2.43 2.48 2.77 2.85 2.77 2.83 2.86 2.87 2.82 2.85 2.89 2.84 2.91 2.91 2.83
一、散点图
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二、分布图：JB＞3判断为正太分布 S是偏度 K是峰度
54Series: URSample 1 37Observations 37Mean Median Maximum Minimum Std. Dev. Skewness Kurtosis 0.336145 0.312400 0.547000 0.150873 0.120626 0.143256 1.887565321Jarque-Bera 2.034384Probability 0.3616090.20.30.40.50 2
三、ＵＲ的单因素联表
Tabulation of UR
Date: 09/05/15 Time: 21:25 Sample: 1 37
Included observations: 37 Number of categories: 5
Value [0.1, 0.2) [0.2, 0.3) [0.3, 0.4) [0.4, 0.5) [0.5, 0.6) Total
Count 7 9 6 11 4 37
Percent 18.92 24.32 16.22 29.73 10.81 100.00
Cumulative
Count 7 16 22 33 37 37
Cumulative
Percent 18.92 43.24 59.46 89.19 100.00 100.00 四、协方差与相关性
Covariance Analysis: Ordinary Date: 09/05/15 Time: 21:40 Sample: 1 37
Included observations: 37
Covariance Correlation UR URIR
0.033170 0.615934
UR 0.014157 1.000000 0.204852 1.000000
URIR
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五、ＣＤＦ经验分布图
URIR1.00.8Probability0.60.40.20.01.62.02.42.83.2UR1.00.8Probability0.60.40.20.0.15.20.25.30.35.40.45.50.55 4
六、Ｑ-Ｑ图
URIR3.63.2.7.6URQuantiles of NormalQuantiles of Normal2.82.42.01.61.21.01.52.02.5.5.4.3.2.1.03.5.13.0.2.3.4.5.6Quantiles of URIRQuantiles of UR 七、回归散点图
3.63.22.8URIR2.42.01.61.2.1.2.3UR.4.5.6 邻近拟合散点图：（分布回归的结果）
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EVIEWS操作各种模型的学习
