巴布亚新几内亚Mw≥7地震时空对称性及趋势判断
石唯康;延军平;董治宝;杨军怀;陈国祥
【期刊名称】《河南科学》 【年(卷),期】2017(035)008
【摘要】The frequent occurrence of the earthquake disaster has brought a lot of losses to the human,and it is of great theoretical and practical significance to judge the trend accurately.In this paper,the temporal and spatial trends of Mw ≥7 earthquake in Papua New Guinea are predicted by using the method of commensurability,symmetry analysis of butterfly structure diagram,commensurability structure system of earthquake,the space-time migration of epicenter and other aspects.At the same time,we analyzed mechanism of earthquake occurrence by the frequency of sunspot,the lunar tidal force.The results show as follows.1) The signal of Mw ≥7 earthquake occurred in Papua New Guinea in March 2024 and 2024 was the strongest.2) From the migration of warp direction and zonal of epicenter,the migration of next earthquake epicenter have large possibility to the southwest,and its range may be in the south latitude 5.1° north,east longitude 150.9° west.3)The next earthquake in Papua New Guinea is most likely to occur in the 24th cycle decline period of sunspot and within 5 days of the moon.The purpose of this study is to provide some reference for future disaster prevention and mitigation.%地震灾害的频繁发生给人类带来了大