20.00%z=-5%yz=010.00%z=5%0.00%z=10%-30%-20%-10%-10.00%0 0%z=15%-20.00%z=20%x 分 析
投资方案,用于确定性分析的
可能出现的情况估算的。大,投资额、经营成本和销售准收益率为11%,不考虑所得
219800152004600319800152004600419800152004600519800152004600经营成本为C,期末资产的残值L
,年销售收入的变化率为z,4600,……,6600)
6600})
0%0%0%i0=NPV=IRR=10396.4522.03%
234519800152004600-11198.35 19800152004600-7742.30 19800152004600-4600.44 19800152004600-1744.20 NPV11396.4528377.8024132.4619887.1215641.7911396.457151.112905.78-1339.56 -5584.90 IRR22.035.902.72).37%.82".03.92.41%8.32%2.34%z0%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5 %NPV11396.45-10723.99 -5193.88 336.235866.3411396.4516926.5622456.6727986.7833516.89
单因素敏感性分析图50%投资变化的影经营成本变化的影响400%IRR20%0%销售收入的变化的影响0%-30%-20%-10%0%-10 0%x,y,z-5%
18641.7917891.7917141.7916391.7915641.7914891.7914141.7913391.7912641.790%
14396.4513646.4512896.4512146.4511396.4510646.459896.459146.458396.455%
10151.119401.118651.117901.117151.116401.115651.114901.114151.1110Y05.785155.784405.783655.782905.782155.781405.78655.78-94.22
-5?66.348116.347366.346616.345866.345116.344366.343616.342866.340%
14396.4513646.4512896.4512146.4511396.4510646.459896.459146.458396.455%
19926.5619176.5618426.5617676.5616926.5616176.5615426.5614676.5613926.5610%
25456.6724706.6723956.6723206.6722456.6721706.6720956.6720246.6719456.67
-5%
-6478.65 -948.54 4581.5710111.6815641.7921171.9026702.0132232.1237762.230%
-10723.99 -5193.88 336.235866.3411396.4516926.5622456.6727986.7833516.895%
-14969.33 -9439.22 -3909.11 1621.007151.1112681.2218211.3323741.4429271.5510%
-19214.67 -13684.56 -8154.45 -2624.33 2905.788435.8913966.0019496.1125026.22
xzz
x-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5 %
75.989.190.882.584.28u.98G.67.37%-8.93%-37.23%-10.30%-25.66%-21.82%-17.98%-14.14%-10.30%-6.47%-2.63%1.21%5.05%-10.30%-13.02%-12.34%-11.66%-10.98%-10.30%-9.63%-8.95%-8.27%-7.59%
敏感性分析
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