计量经济学课程论文

计量经济学论文

摘 要

居民合理的消费模式和居民适度的消费规模有利于经济持续健康的增长，而且这也是人民生活水平的具体体现。改革开放以来随着中国经济的快速发展，居民的消费水平也不断增长。但是在看到这个整体趋势的同时，还应看到全国各地区经济发展速度不同，城镇居民人均年可支配收入对人均居民消费支出有显著的影响差异。

关键词:可支配收入；消费；影响

计量经济学论文

计量经济学论文

Abstract

Residents reasonable consumption patterns and residents of moderate consumption scale is conducive to sustained and healthy economic growth, and it is also the concrete embodiment of people's living level. Since the reform and opening up with the rapid development of China economy, people's consumption level is increasing. But in view of this overall trend at the same time, we should also see the speed of economic development in various regions of the country is different, urban residents per capita disposable income has a significant effect on the difference of per capita household consumption expenditure.

Keywords: disposable income; consumption; influence

计量经济学论文

计量经济学论文

目录

引言 ..................................................... 1 一、 理论依据 ............................................ 1 （一）凯恩斯的绝对收入假说 ............................ 1 （二）莫迪利安的生命周期假说 .......................... 1 二、实证分析 ............................................. 2 （一） 模型设定 ....................................... 2 (二)估计参数 .......................................... 4 （三）模型检验 ........................................ 4 1、经济意义检验 .................................... 4 2、拟合优度和统计检验 .............................. 4 三、结论和政策建议 ....................................... 5 参考文献 ................................................. 7 附录一：人均可支配收入与人均消费支出参数估计结果 ......... 8 附录二：White异方差性检验 ................................ 9