黄金价格预测
目 录
摘 要 ……………………………………………………………………………2
Abstract………………………………………………………………………3 1 问题背景…………………………………………………………………………4 2 黄金市场介绍 …………………………………………………………………4 2.1黄金的由来和发展历史 ………………………………………………… 1 2.2 世界主要黄金市场…………………………………………………………6 2.2 黄金价格基本分析办法……………………………………………………6 2.3 黄金价格技术分析办法……………………………………………………7 3 神经网格理论及其介绍…………………………………………………………9 3.1 人工神经网格概念…………………………………………………………9 3.2 BP神经网络基本原理 ……………………………………………………11 3.3 建立模型……………………………………………………………………13 结论…………………………………………………………………………………20 致谢 ……………………………………………………………………………20 参考文献 ………………………………………………………………………… 21
摘 要
黄金交易是金融活动的一项重要组成部分,其价格的变化也是金融市场中经济行为主体投资决策过程的反映。对黄金价格的动态演变过程的刻划本质上就是数据生成过程的搜索。从黄金价格数据生成过程中,发现经济运行的内在规律或检验已有的经济理论,有助于黄金投资者与生产者了解黄金市场的特点。寻找适合的数学模型来预测黄金价格,是本文的主要内容。随着中国经济的发展,富人越来越多,这也就促进了中国人进行投资,但是,我们需要了解经济,在合适的地方投资,这样就不会出现中国大妈买黄金这种现象了。 关键词:黄金 价格 bp神经网络模型 中国大妈
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Abstract
Gold transaction is an essential part of the economic. The variation about the price of gold transaction reflects the investment of the economical action. Describing the change of gold price is to reach the process of the statistic. In the process, finding the regular of economic or existing a rule of economic theory, it helps gold investor and gold producer to know about the gold character. The essay is mainly to find a mathematical model to predict the gold price. With the development of china economic, more and more people invest their money to the market, therefore, we should know about the economic and should not invest without the rule of the economic. If we invest the money in proper position, it would not happen the phenomenon which the DAMA buy a lot of gold in the market in china. Key words:gold price Back Propagation DAMA
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